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Nuclear proliferation

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Nuclear proliferation refers to the spread of nuclear weapons to additional countries. This process specifically targets nations not recognized as nuclear-weapon states by the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT). Proliferation occurs through the movement of fissile material. It also involves the spread of technology used to design and manufacture weapons. In modern times, it includes the spread of these weapons to non-state actors. This subject is a central concern for global security and international law.

There are competing views on why proliferation matters. Many nations oppose it because they fear increased nuclear warfare. They worry about the possibility of countervalue targeting, which involves attacking civilian populations. Others believe proliferation could destabilize international relations or hurt state sovereignty. Conversely, supporters of deterrence theory argue that controlled proliferation actually decreases conflict. They believe a state of nuclear peace can be maintained through this theory.

Nuclear weapons research began during World War II. The United States, United Kingdom, and Canada worked together on this research. Separately, Germany, Japan, the Soviet Union, and France also conducted their own studies. The United States became the first country to use a nuclear weapon in war. It used two bombs against Japan in August 1945. Following their surrender, Germany and Japan stopped all nuclear weapons research. This era triggered a massive nuclear arms race between global powers.

During the Cold War, several nations developed their own capabilities. The Soviet Union carried out its first test in 1949. The United Kingdom and France developed fission and fusion weapons during the 1950s and 1960s. China also developed both types of weapons during the Sino-Soviet split. Today, five countries are officially recognized as nuclear-weapon states by the NPT. These are China, France, the Russian Federation, the United Kingdom, and the United States.

Venn diagram nuclear knowledge sharing
Venn diagram nuclear knowledge sharing

Beyond the recognized states, other nations have acquired or are presumed to have weapons. These include Israel, South Africa, India, Pakistan, and North Korea. South Africa is unique because it dismantled its program and joined the NPT. The other four states are not members of the treaty. Some nations, such as Iran and Japan, are said to maintain nuclear latency. This means they have the capacity to develop weapons rapidly on demand. Other countries, like Brazil and Iraq, pursued programs without reaching the weapons stage.

A major challenge in controlling proliferation is dual-use technology. This refers to technology that can be used for both civilian and military purposes. For example, uranium enrichment and fuel reprocessing facilities are used for civilian nuclear power. However, they can also produce weapons-grade fissile material.

Libya centrifuges 2003 (at Y12)
Libya centrifuges 2003 (at Y12)

Because of this, the expansion of nuclear power increases proliferation risks. To manage this, experts look for "good governance" in nations. This includes low corruption, political stability, and strong regulatory competence.

International efforts to prevent proliferation have evolved over decades. Early efforts included government secrecy and the acquisition of uranium stores. In 1946, the Baruch Plan was proposed to the United Nations. It suggested destroying the U.S. arsenal in exchange for international control of all nuclear materials. While the plan failed due to a Soviet veto, it launched the field of nuclear ethics. Later, President Eisenhower proposed "Atoms for Peace" in 1953. This led to the creation of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) in 1957.

The NPT was finally negotiated in the 1960s and opened for signature in 1968. It entered into force in March 1970. Currently, 189 countries are parties to the NPT. The IAEA serves a dual mission under this framework. It promotes the peaceful use of nuclear energy for electricity and science. Simultaneously, it operates a safeguards system to detect the diversion of materials.

Vanunu-glove-box-bomb-components
Vanunu-glove-box-bomb-components

The IAEA monitors highly enriched uranium and plutonium to ensure they remain for peaceful purposes only.

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File:Venn diagram nuclear knowledge sharing.gif
Venn diagram nuclear knowledge sharing.gif
File:Libya centrifuges 2003 (at Y12).jpg
Libya centrifuges 2003 (at Y12).jpg
File:Vanunu-glove-box-bomb-components.jpg
Vanunu-glove-box-bomb-components.jpg
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