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Recession

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A recession is a time when economic activity slows down across a large area. This usually happens when people and businesses stop spending as much money as they used to.

Recessions in the United States — 1930 through 2021
Recessions in the United States — 1930 through 2021

Many different things can trigger this sudden drop in spending. A financial crisis or a problem with international trade can cause it. Even natural disasters or a pandemic can lead to a recession. When people spend less, businesses often make less money too. This creates a cycle that affects many different parts of life.

Economists look at many signs to see if a recession is happening. They track things like how much people earn and how many people have jobs. They also look at industrial production and how much is sold in stores.

Real Manufacturing and Trade Industry Sales
Real Manufacturing and Trade Industry Sales

In the United States, the National Bureau of Economic Research is the main authority. They say a recession starts at a peak of activity and ends at a trough. A trough is the lowest point of the downturn. The group looks at many factors to decide when these dates occur.

Different countries use different rules to define a recession. In the United Kingdom and Canada, it often means negative growth for two quarters. A quarter is a period of three months. The European Union also uses a wide range of signs to check the economy.

Job seekers ratio
Job seekers ratio

This helps leaders understand how deep the problem is. The OECD uses a more specific rule about the output gap. They look at how much the economy is producing over several years. These rules help leaders plan how to help the economy recover.

Recessions do not always look the same. Some are V-shaped, which means they are short but very sharp. These happened in the United States in 1954 and again in 1990.

Recessions in the United States — 1930 through 2021
Recessions in the United States — 1930 through 2021

Other recessions are U-shaped, which means they last for a longer time. Some can even be L-shaped, where the economy stays low for a long period. For example, Thailand saw eight quarters of decline. If a recession is very severe or lasts many years, it is called a depression.

To help, governments often use special policies to boost the economy. They might lower interest rates to make borrowing money easier.

US Treasury interest rates
US Treasury interest rates

They may also increase government spending or lower taxes. This is meant to encourage people to spend again. Sometimes, people's feelings also play a big role in the economy. An economist named Keynes called this "animal spirits." This refers to how trust and confidence affect how people spend money.

When people feel good, the economy often grows faster.

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