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Variable renewable energy

technology Maturity 9-11 Next article →

Variable renewable energy (VRE) refers to energy sources that fluctuate based on natural conditions. These sources are often called intermittent renewable energy sources (IRES). Unlike controllable sources, VRE is not dispatchable. Dispatchability is the ability of a power source to increase or decrease its output on demand. This makes managing the electrical grid a complex task for operators. They must constantly match the supply of electricity to the actual demand from consumers.

Renewables need flexible backup not baseload
Renewables need flexible backup not baseload

The mechanism of variability involves both predictable and unpredictable changes. Predictable variability follows regular patterns, such as the day-night cycle for solar energy. Unpredictable variability comes from local weather changes that are hard to forecast perfectly. For wind power, output depends on wind speed, air density, and specific turbine characteristics. If wind speeds are too low, turbines cannot generate electricity. If speeds are too high, turbines must shut down to prevent damage.

Windpowerprediction
Windpowerprediction

There are several distinct types of variable renewable energy. Solar power depends on sunlight and can be affected by dust, fog, or clouds. It naturally stops producing power at night. Wind power varies across different geographical scales. While a single turbine might change rapidly, connecting many turbines over large areas can smooth out the average output. Tidal power is a unique type because it is highly predictable. Because tides are driven by the moon, they are reliable and reverse twice a day.

Tide type
Tide type

Understanding the efficiency of these sources requires looking at the capacity factor. The capacity factor is the ratio of actual electricity produced over a period to the amount that would have been produced if the plant ran at its nameplate capacity. Nameplate capacity is the theoretical maximum output under ideal conditions. For standard solar panels, the annual capacity factor is usually between 10% and 20%. If the panels move to track the sun, this can rise to 30%. Wind power typically has an annual capacity factor between 25% and 50%, with offshore wind often performing better than onshore wind.

ATTParkannualoutput
ATTParkannualoutput

In 2021, the global penetration of these technologies was relatively low. Wind accounted for 7% of global electricity, and solar accounted for 4%. However, some nations have much higher levels of penetration. In 2021, Denmark, Luxembourg, and Uruguay each generated over 40% of their electricity from wind and solar. As the concentration of wind power on a grid rises, its capacity credit—the amount of conventional power that can be removed while maintaining reliability—tends to drop.

Erie Shores Wind Farm output Aug-Jul 2008
Erie Shores Wind Farm output Aug-Jul 2008

Engineers use several solutions to integrate large amounts of VRE into the grid. One method is energy storage, which converts sunlight or wind into potential energy in batteries. This energy is released when the original source is unavailable. Some solar thermal plants use molten salt tanks to store heat. This allows them to continue generating electricity even after the sun sets.

20240706 Energy storage - renewable energy - battery - 100 ms
20240706 Energy storage - renewable energy - battery - 100 ms
Abengoa Solar (7336087392)
Abengoa Solar (7336087392)

Another solution is sector coupling, which connects the energy sector to buildings, transport, and industry.

These systems connect to broader goals of grid stability and decarbonization. While small amounts of intermittent power have little effect, large amounts may require a total redesign of grid infrastructure. Operators can also use overcapacity to ensure enough energy is produced during poor weather. They can also use dispatchable sources, like hydroelectricity or biomass, to balance the fluctuations. By combining many different sources and storage methods, the grid can remain reliable even as we move toward more renewable energy.

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🖼️ Images & Media (13)
File:Andasol Guadix 4.jpg
Andasol Guadix 4.jpg
File:Renewables need flexible backup not baseload.png
Renewables need flexible backup not baseload.png
File:Windpowerprediction.png
Windpowerprediction.png
File:Erie Shores Wind Farm output Aug-Jul 2008.gif
Erie Shores Wind Farm output Aug-Jul 2008.gif
File:Aralvaimozhy station.jpg
Aralvaimozhy station.jpg
File:ATTParksolarpaneloutput.png
ATTParksolarpaneloutput.png
File:ATTParkannualoutput.png
ATTParkannualoutput.png
File:SolarStirlingEngine.jpg
SolarStirlingEngine.jpg
File:Tide type.svg
Tide type.svg
File:20240706 Energy storage - renewable energy - battery - 100 ms.gif
20240706 Energy storage - renewable...
File:Abengoa Solar (7336087392).jpg
Abengoa Solar (7336087392).jpg
File:Battery-cost-learning-curve.png
Battery-cost-learning-curve.png

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