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Fiscal policy

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Fiscal policy is a primary tool used by governments to influence a nation's economy. It involves two main levers: government revenue collection and government expenditure. Revenue collection refers to how a government gathers money, usually through taxes or tax cuts. Expenditure refers to how the government spends that money on public needs. By adjusting these two levers, authorities aim to manage macroeconomic variables. These variables include aggregate demand, which is the total demand for goods and services. They also include economic activity, saving, investment, and the distribution of resources.

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This method of managing the economy is based on Keynesian economics. This theory was developed by a British economist named John Maynard Keynes. Before his ideas became widely used, many followed a laissez-faire approach. Laissez-faire means the government does not interfere with economic management. However, the Great Depression of the 1930s showed that this approach was unworkable. Keynes theorized that changes in taxation and spending levels could influence economic activity. This shift in thinking allowed governments to respond to economic cycles more actively.

Governments generally adopt one of three distinct fiscal stances. The first is neutral fiscal policy. This is used when the economy is neither in a recession nor an expansion. In this state, government deficit spending remains roughly the same as historical averages. The second stance is expansionary fiscal policy. This is used during the contraction phase of the business cycle, such as a recession. The government spends more than it collects in taxes to stimulate growth. This might include building public works like schools or providing tax cuts to increase purchasing power.

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The third stance is contractionary fiscal policy. This is used when an economy experiences unsustainable growth. Rapid growth can lead to high inflation or unemployment levels above the healthy range of 3% to 4%. To slow this down, the government may increase tax rates or decrease spending. This reduces the total amount of aggregate income available for consumers to spend. It is important to note that economists use "cyclically adjusted" figures for these calculations. This helps distinguish intentional policy changes from natural fluctuations in tax revenue caused by the business cycle.

Fiscal policy is often compared to monetary policy. While they both aim to stabilize the economy, they work differently. Fiscal policy is usually administered by a government department. It focuses on taxes and spending. Monetary policy is typically managed by a country's central bank. It focuses on the money supply and interest rates. Monetary policy is often quicker to implement because interest rates can be set monthly. Fiscal policy may take longer because leaders must decide exactly where to spend money. However, fiscal policy often has a greater effect over the long-run period.

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There is an ongoing debate regarding which policy is better. Since the 1970s, some argue that monetary policy has benefits because it reduces political influence. For example, politicians might want to cut interest rates right before an election to boost the economy. Fiscal policy can be harder to implement because politicians may be reluctant to raise taxes to fight inflation. However, monetary policy has limits, such as a "liquidity trap." In a liquidity trap, interest rate cuts fail to boost demand because banks will not lend and consumers will not spend. In these deep recessions, government spending can provide a necessary kick-start.

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Modern authorities often combine both policies to reach specific economic targets. They aim to keep inflation in a healthy range of 2% to 3%. They also try to maintain GDP growth between 2% and 3%. Additionally, they work to keep the unemployment rate near the natural rate of 4% to 5%. In the United States, the government and the Federal Reserve often use both strategies. A 2000 survey of the American Economic Association showed that 84 percent of members believed fiscal policy has a significant stimulative impact. By 2011, a follow-up survey showed that views on how much the government should intervene had become more divided.

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Developing economies use fiscal policy differently than developed nations. Instead of just maintaining growth, they often use it to improve human capital. This involves investing in infrastructure and education to create long-term gains. However, these nations face unique challenges, such as an inability to fund their policies. The tax revenue collected by developed countries is nearly twice that of developing countries relative to GDP. Many developing nations also face a growing debt crisis, which has reached $11.4 trillion. This often forces these governments to prioritize debt repayment over essential public services.

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