We can use clues to guess things.
Imagine you flip a coin.
You see it land on heads.
This clue helps you guess the truth.
It tells us how well a guess fits.
It helps us learn from what we see.
Can you find clues in your day? 
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likelihoodFunctionAfterHH.png
likelihoodFunctionAfterHHT.png
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Content adapted from Wikipedia
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Readability: FK 15.6
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Vital Level 5